Skip to main content

Table 10 ARFIMA–FIGARCH forecast evaluation

From: Long memory mean and volatility models of platinum and palladium price return series under heavy tailed distributions

Parameters

Normal platinum

Student

GED

Skewed student

Normal palladium

Student

GED

Skewed student

MSE

0.0003

0.0003

0.0003

0.0003

0.0037

0.0037

0.0038

0.0038

MAE

0.0082

0.0082

0.0083

0.0087

0.0256

0.0257

0.0272

0.0269

TIC

0.6515

0.6517

0.6517

0.6331

0.6308

0.6407

0.6356

0.6391

Alpha (MZ)

0.0002

0.0002

0.0002

0.0006

−0.0029

−0.0026

−0.0022

−0.0029

Beta (MZ)

1.2062

1.1974

1.1948

1.0028

1.3566

1.3449

1.1784

1.2280

\(R^2\) (MZ)

0.0689

0.0670

0.0665

0.0551

0.1443

0.1274

0.0972

0.1000