Fig. 6
From: Simulation enhanced distributed lag models for mortality displacement
Binned quantile plot of error in estimated entry effect. Left: DLM with lags 0–60, restricted to a B-spline basis with 10 degrees of freedom. Middle corresponding SEDLM with square envelope. Right corresponding SEDLM with larger, rectangular envelope. The bands contain respectively 95, 90, 80, 60 and 20%; the white line represents the median