Mining precise cause and effect rules in large time series data of socio-economic indicators

Hira, Swati; Deshpande, P. S.

doi:10.1186/s40064-016-3292-0

SpringerPlus

Table 11 Growth rate change of indicators

From: Mining precise cause and effect rules in large time series data of socio-economic indicators

Rules	Binary (CP–(2) → ARME)		Transitivity (AR–(1) → AG–(3) → CO2)			Many to one (FDI, FR)–(1) → CPI			Cyclic GDP ← (2,1) → CY
Year	CP	ARME	ANE	OR	CO2GF	FDI	FR	CPI	GDP	CY	GDP1
1972	5.93	4.35	0	−17.69	−0.4	−1.33	−0.3	−2.56	0.96	−2.63	−1.49
1973	−3.49	−2.92	3.81	−8.06	−0.52	2.58	−0.3	1.5	4.21	2.67	5.12
1974	2.06	1.15	1.56	0.98	1.36	3.72	−0.3	3.62	−0.91	−1.28	−5.11
1975	−2.83	−2.03	2.79	1.51	2	1.47	−0.3	1.2	−1.49	−3.55	−2.06
1976	1.25	0.78	0.73	0.2	0.38	0.95	−0.4	0.11	5.12	0.24	1.02
1977	−3.79	2.98	1.56	1.27	1.63	−1.98	0	0.54	−5.11	−3.24	0.19
1978	0.74	0.23	11.28	17.52	2.36	−0.73	0	2.59	−2.06	−1.67	2.15
1979	4.25	−3.49	1.29	1.12	−4.38	−2.4	−0.3	1.48	1.02	0.97	2.89
1980	1.96	1.26	1.01	0.57	2.74	1.69	−0.3	0.66	0.19	2.65	1.3
1981	−0.54	−1.15	−4	−0.72	−0.27	1.41	−0.06	2.33	2.15	3.65	2.43
1982	−2.54	−5.78	1.09	0.96	1.54	4.03	−0.31	6.37	2.89	1.32	3.79
1983	3.9	2.25	1.73	−8.63	−4.27	2.3	−0.03	1.88	1.3	−1	2.24
1984	−1.06	0.95	0.4	2.32	0.52	1.25	−0.3	1.65	2.43	−1.35	0.87
1985	1.53	1.87	2.12	−3.6	3.36	0.21	0.3	1.04	3.79	10.24	9.4
1986	1.6	0.44	1.14	1.44	−0.11	0.99	0	−1.02	2.24	−3.75	−1.27
1987	11.21	−1.29	8.62	4.99	2.18	7.39	−0.21	6.55	0.87	−0.82	1.82
1988	4.32	4.55	2.13	2.47	3.52	1.96	0.4	0.43	9.4	1.35	10.62
1989	−0.52	−1.57	1.27	0.38	−0.98	0.9	0.4	−0.79	−1.27	−0.77	−1.07
1990	1.33	0.59	4.58	1.5	1.53	3.95	−0.4	0.36	1.82	1.41	2.03
1991	0.85	1.15	1.34	0.41	1.84	−0.53	0	4.08	10.62	−0.76	−4.01
1992	−11.28	−2.68	−0.36	−2.25	−2.21	0.67	−0.4	0.25	−1.07	−0.42	−1.66
1993	2.18	11.22	−1	0.78	1.25	1.77	−0.4	0.45	2.03	−1.51	3.02
1994	−0.55	10.19	2.83	2.09	2.7	3.79	−0.4	1.36	−4.01	−6.12	5.3
1995	1.57	1.22	1.73	0.31	1.94	7.22	−0.03	3.43	1.66	−9.27	2.14
1996	5.57	4.17	0.61	2.59	1.05	2.17	−0.33	0.98	−0.02	−0.33	−0.3
1997	−0.51	−0.17	2.65	−3.49	3.75	1.16	−0.03	0.77	2.3	1.59	−2.44
1998	−0.2	0.22	−1.08	1.78	−7.02	6.56	−0.23	1.58	2.14	1.27	3.46
1999	1.52	1.15	1.38	−1.17	3.92	−0.6	0.03	1.5	−0.3	−5.29	−1.86
2000	−1.13	−0.3	1.48	1.29	0.75	3.74	−0.03	4.29	−2.44	−7.67	−5.93
2001	7.34	5.24	−1.2	0.96	4.7	7.84	−0.33	4.69	3.46	−2.73	−1.01
2002	5.37	6.18	3.61	3.2	0.88	1.78	−0.04	2.36	−1.86	−2	6.3
2003	1.97	−0.54	1.34	0.84	−1.75	1.76	−0.03	1.21	5.93	3.21	6.01
2004	6.2	5.68	0.96	0.28	0.93	1.18	−0.03	2.96	−1.01	−2.27	26.63
2005	−2.55	0.57	9.9	0.39	2.17	3.17	0.03	0.85	6.3	4.45	10.4
2006	−2.74	1.81	2.84	2.27	4.76	1.16	−0.06	3.61	6.01	−0.86	−2.85
2007	5.28	1.63				6.67	−0.33	0.91	26.63	−2.38	−0.86
2008	0.63	0.5				1.44	0.03	5.82	11.4	−0.39	−2.77
2009	3.58	2.39				−3.71	0.03	0.37

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