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Table 5 Summary of overall change in woody cover at the study sites in relation to possible causes

From: Change in woody cover at representative sites in the Kruger National Park, South Africa, based on historical imagery

Site

Location (geology)

Change in woody cover in section of study site in Fig. 4

Elephant density, individuals/km2 (Smit et al. 2013a)

Mean fire return interval, years (Smit et al. 2013b)

Average rainfall, mm/annum (Smit et al. 2013a)

Correlation between woody cover and cumulative rainfall in 10-year moving average analysis period in Fig. 5

Nhlowa

Southern basalts

−40 % (period: 1968–2012)

0.17

4.05

610

r = 0.533, P > 0.05, NS*

Mooiplaas

Northern basalts

>100 % (period: 1942–2012)

0.07

4.57 

480

Stevenson-Hamilton

Southern granites

−29 % (period: 1940–2012)

0.09

5.80

560

r = 0.478, P > 0.05, NS*

Ngwenyeni

Northern granites

+39 % (period: 1942–2012)

0.22

9.39 

490

r = −0.674, P > 0.05, NS*

  1. NS = Not significant at 5 %
  2. – Not analysed due to short rainfall record