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Table 6 Goodness of fit for rule-based classification of patients’ malaria outcome by age

From: Clinical malaria diagnosis: rule-based classification statistical prototype

Goodness of fit statistics

5–9 Years

10–17 Years

18 Years and above

Total

%

95 % CI

%

95 % CI

%

95 % CI

%

95 % CI

(a) Predictive dataset: Kalisizo Hospital

Sensitivity

0.55

[0.43–0.66]

0.71

[0.62–0.80]

0.72

[0.69–0.76]

0.70

[0.68–0.74]

Specificity

0.50

[0.35–0.67]

0.50

[0.36–0.70]

0.64

[0.58–0.73]

0.58

[0.54–0.66]

Positive predictive value

0.60

[0.46–0.77]

0.77

[0.67–0.91]

0.89

[0.87–0.93]

0.84

[0.82–0.89]

Negative predictive value

0.44

[0.30–0.62]

0.43

[0.30–0.63]

0.36

[0.31–0.45]

0.38

[0.34–0.46]

(b) Training dataset: Kisubi Hospital

Sensitivity

0.92

[0.90–0.93]

0.80

[0.74–0.83]

0.73

[0.63–0.76]

0.89

[0.87–0.90]

Specificity

0.92

[0.91–0.93]

0.85

[0.79–0.87]

0.95

[0.93–0.96]

0.98

[0.97–0.98]

Positive predictive value

0.72

[0.67–0.74]

0.51

[0.41–0.56]

0.42

[0.30–0.45]

0.85

[0.82–0.86]

Negative predictive value

0.98

[0.98–0.98]

0.95

[0.94–0.96]

0.99

[0.98–0.99]

0.98

[0.98–0.99]