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Table 7 Comparison of 100 year failure probability (P f ) using response surface and MCS

From: A probabilistic bridge safety evaluation against floods

Approach

Boundsa

P f

COV

MCS

NA

2.32 × 10−1

0.033

RSM(150)b

μ ± 3σ

2.32 × 10−1

0.01

RSM(80)b

μ ± 2σ

2.41 × 10−1

0.02

  1. aLower and upper bounds for samples to generate the RSM
  2. bSample size