Skip to main content

Table 4 Possible migration paths of a 2 year BBB-rated loan

From: On meeting capital requirements with a chance-constrained optimization model

 

Non-default

m = 0

Migration

m = 1

Paths

m = 2

 

Default

m = 0

Migration

m = 1

Paths

m = 2

1

BBB

AAA

AAA

1

BBB

D

 

2

BBB

AAA

AA

2

BBB

AAA

D

3

BBB

AAA

A

3

BBB

AA

D

4

BBB

AAA

BBB

4

BBB

A

D

5

BBB

AAA

BB

5

BBB

BBB

D

6

BBB

AAA

B

6

BBB

BB

D

7

BBB

AAA

C

7

BBB

B

D

8

BBB

AA

AAA

8

BBB

C

D

9

BBB

AA

AA

    

10

BBB

AA

A

    

11

BBB

AA

BBB

    

12

BBB

AA

BB

    

13

BBB

AA

B

    

14

BBB

AA

C

    

15

BBB

A

AAA

    

16

BBB

A

AA

    

17

BBB

A

A

    

18

BBB

A

BBB

    

19

BBB

A

BB

    

20

BBB

A

B

    

21

BBB

A

C

    

22

BBB

BBB

AAA

    

23

BBB

BBB

AA

    

24

BBB

BBB

A

    

25

BBB

BBB

BBB

    

26

BBB

BBB

BB

    

27

BBB

BBB

B

    

28

BBB

BBB

C

    

29

BBB

BB

AAA

    

30

BBB

BB

AA

    

31

BBB

BB

A

    

32

BBB

BB

BBB

    

33

BBB

BB

BB

    

34

BBB

BB

B

    

35

BBB

BB

C

    

36

BBB

B

AAA

    

37

BBB

B

AA

    

38

BBB

B

A

    

39

BBB

B

BBB

    

40

BBB

B

BB

    

41

BBB

B

B

    

42

BBB

B

C

    

43

BBB

C

AAA

    

44

BBB

C

AA

    

45

BBB

C

A

    

46

BBB

C

BBB

    

47

BBB

C

BB

    

48

BBB

C

B

    

49

BBB

C

C