Skip to main content

Table 7 Standard test results from SET index (Thailand)

From: Performance of technical trading rules: evidence from Southeast Asian stock markets

 

Long

Short

Long-short

RSI

 Average daily return of a strategy

0.00 %

0.04 %

−0.04 %

 SD of daily return of a strategy

1.22 %

1.24 %

1.23 %

 Z statistics

0.05

1.32

−0.64 %

 Breakeven trading cost (round trip)

0.23 %

Unprofitable

Unprofitable

 Number of signal generated

16

20

36

STOCH

 Average daily return of a strategy

0.00 %

0.04 %

−0.04 %

 SD of daily return of a strategy

1.42 %

1.06 %

1.23 %

 Z statistics

−0.09

1.58

−0.70

 Breakeven trading cost (round trip)

Unprofitable

Unprofitable

Unprofitable

 Number of signal generated

192

192

384

STOCH-D

 Average daily return of a strategy

0.08 %

−0.05 %

0.13 %

 SD of daily return of a strategy

1.19 %

1.28 %

1.23 %

 Z statistics

2.91**

−1.54

2.20*

 Breakeven trading cost (round trip)

0.30 %

0.16 %

0.23 %

 Number of signal generated

720

721

1441

MACD

 Average daily return of a strategy

0.07 %

−0.07 %

0.14 %

 SD of daily return of a strategy

1.03 %

1.49 %

1.25 %

 Z statistics

2.87**

−1.75*

2.21*

 Breakeven trading cost (round trip)

1.44 %a

0.71 %a

1.00 %a

 Number of signal generated

130

197

327

DMI

 Average daily return of a strategy

0.08 %

−0.04 %

0.11 %

 SD of daily return of a strategy

1.09 %

1.52 %

1.31 %

 Z statistics

2.22*

−0.72

1.32

 Breakeven trading cost (round trip)

1.91 %a

0.78 %a

1.33 %a

 Number of signal generated

60

62

122

OBV

 Average daily return of a strategy

0.07 %

−0.05 %

0.12 %

 SD of daily return of a strategy

0.95 %

1.48 %

1.20 %

 Z statistics

2.15*

−0.84

1.34

 Breakeven trading cost (round trip)

0.64 %a

0.31 %

0.48 %

 Number of signal generated

140

141

281

  1. The data cover from January 2000 to December 2013. Due to a data limitation, results of the OBV trading strategy is based on the sample from February 2008 to December 2013
  2. *, ** Mean significance at 5 and 1 %, respectively
  3. aMeans that the breakeven trading cost (round trip) is higher than the actual round trip trading cost of 0.5 % in the Thai stock market. The alternative hypothesis of the long-only, short-only, and long-and-short strategies are that average daily returns are positive, negative and positive, respectively. For one-tailed test, the significant level (α) is set at 5 and 1 % and hence, the critical Z values are 1.645 and 2.33, respectively