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Table 1 Probabilities of Survival Based on Predicted Neurologic Outcome

From: Cost-effectiveness analysis of alternative cooling strategies following cardiac arrest

  Base-Case % (range) Reference
Probability of Death
 Conventional care 54(47–61) [9, 13]
  Blanket 50(45–54) [9, 13, 15, 19*]
  Peritoneal lavage 31(13–56) [19*]
  V-V ECMO 50(20–80) [21]
Probability of Good Outcome Given Survival
 Conventional care 69(60–77) [9, 13]
  Blanket 86(80–90) [9, 13, 15]
  Peritoneal lavage 86(80–90) [9, 13, 15, 19*]
  V-V ECMO 75(28–97) [21]
  1. V-V ECMO veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.
  2. * DeWaard is the only study of peritoneal lavage, but does not report neurological outcomes in terms of fractions of patients in CPC groups. That study instead reports neurological outcomes defined in terms of average Glasgow Coma Scale of survivors. However, the average Glasgow Coma Scale results were very similar to blanket cooling, so we assume the fraction of patients in CPC groups (good outcome vs bad outcome) are similar to blanket cooling.