Sample periods | Lo-MacKinlay variance ratios for investment horizons (q) | Chow and Denning statistic | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 |  |
Sensex | |||||
Full sample | 1.08* | 1.12* | 1.12*** | 1.19** | 3.767** |
 | (3.767) | (2.878) | (1.868) | (2.071) |  |
Jan 1991 – Dec 1993 | 1.11 | 1.20 | 1.26 | 1.42 | 1.066 |
 | (1.066) | (1.083) | (0.910) | (1.001) |  |
Jan 1994 - Dec 1996 | 1.21 | 1.27 | 1.32 | 1.21 | 0.772 |
 | (0.772) | (0.567) | (0.424) | (0.196) |  |
Jan 1997 – Dec 1999 | 1.04 | 1.08 | 1.03*** | 1.06 | 0.291 |
 | (0.291) | (0.292) | (0.082) | (0.094) |  |
Jan 2000 – Dec 2002 | 1.06 | 1.09 | 1.10 | 1.11 | 0.391 |
 | (0.391) | (0.298) | (0.211) | (0.163) |  |
Jan 2003 – Dec 2005 | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.08 | 1.15 | 0.271 |
 | (0.273) | (0.052) | (0.104) | (0.129) |  |
Jan 2006 – Dec 2008 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 0.985 | 1.05 | 0.653 |
 | (0.653) | (0.346) | (-0.045) | (0.124) |  |
Jan 2009 – Dec 2011 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.01 | 1.09 | 0.319 |
 | (0.319) | (0.172) | (0.022) | (0.117) |  |
Jan 2012 – Mar 2013 | 0.98 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.012 |
 | (-0.01) | (0.023) | (0.024) | (0.018) |  |
Nifty | |||||
Full sample | 1.07* | 1.08** | 1.06 | 1.10 | 3.180* |
 | (3.180) | *(1.896) | (1.071) | (1.121) |  |
Jan 1994 - Dec 1996 | 1.23 | 1.31 | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.055 |
 | (1.055) | (0.789) | (0.673) | (0.304) |  |
Jan 1997 – Dec 1999 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.003 |
 | (0.003) | (-0.005) | (-0.107) | (-0.068) |  |
Jan 2000 – Dec 2002 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.11 | 1.15 | 0.602 |
 | (0.602) | (0.284) | (0.260) | (0.252) |  |
Jan 2003 – Dec 2005 | 1.11 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 0.587 |
 | (0.586) | (0.183) | (0.218) | (0.203) |  |
Jan 2006 – Dec 2008 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 0.99 | 1.07 |  |
 | (0.677) | (0.395) | (-0.015) | (0.216) | 0.677 |
Jan 2009 – Dec - 2011 | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.00* | 1.07 | 0.288 |
 | (0.276) | (0.172) | (0.002) | (0.112) |  |
Jan 2012 – Mar 2013 | 0.97 | 1.06* | 1.10** | 1.12** | 0.021 |
 | (-0.021) | *(0.032) | (0.035) | (0.029) |  |